Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001792 0.001914 0.002040 0.002182 0.002335 0.002496 0.002678
2024-12-29 0.001592 0.001760 0.001941 0.002153 0.002393 0.002657 0.002972
2025-01-05 0.001457 0.001653 0.001872 0.002135 0.002445 0.002799 0.003237
2025-01-12 0.001339 0.001551 0.001794 0.002094 0.002457 0.002884 0.003431
2025-01-19 0.001255 0.001480 0.001744 0.002076 0.002489 0.002988 0.003646
2025-01-26 0.001152 0.001378 0.001647 0.001994 0.002434 0.002978 0.003711
2025-02-02 0.001127 0.001369 0.001663 0.002048 0.002547 0.003180 0.004056
2025-02-09 0.001098 0.001352 0.001664 0.002083 0.002637 0.003354 0.004372
2025-02-16 0.001095 0.001366 0.001707 0.002171 0.002798 0.003628 0.004836
2025-02-23 0.001055 0.001332 0.001684 0.002171 0.002839 0.003742 0.005084
2025-03-02 0.000994 0.001266 0.001615 0.002106 0.002789 0.003725 0.005143
2025-03-09 0.000949 0.001220 0.001572 0.002072 0.002778 0.003763 0.005280
2025-03-16 0.000912 0.001186 0.001547 0.002069 0.002819 0.003886 0.005570
2025-03-23 0.000871 0.001145 0.001511 0.002047 0.002832 0.003971 0.005810
2025-03-30 0.000835 0.001109 0.001480 0.002032 0.002853 0.004068 0.006075
2025-04-06 0.000795 0.001065 0.001435 0.001993 0.002837 0.004106 0.006247
2025-04-13 0.000764 0.001033 0.001406 0.001976 0.002852 0.004192 0.006501
2025-04-20 0.000717 0.000977 0.001339 0.001899 0.002769 0.004120 0.006485
2025-04-27 0.000711 0.000978 0.001357 0.001950 0.002888 0.004373 0.007040
2025-05-04 0.000701 0.000973 0.001363 0.001983 0.002979 0.004588 0.007544
2025-05-11 0.000704 0.000988 0.001400 0.002066 0.003155 0.004953 0.008344
2025-05-18 0.000685 0.000969 0.001386 0.002065 0.003194 0.005087 0.008733
2025-05-25 0.000652 0.000927 0.001335 0.002004 0.003128 0.005037 0.008767